Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.395839 0.507573 0.628374 0.767025 0.920260 1.083116 1.268025
2025-10-12 0.250127 0.400771 0.580315 0.801976 1.061525 1.350285 1.690810
2025-10-19 0.192159 0.363528 0.581872 0.863561 1.204046 1.591823 2.057574
2025-10-26 0.144836 0.327139 0.575312 0.908407 1.321964 1.801938 2.386715
2025-11-02 0.099867 0.280834 0.546449 0.917778 1.390939 1.949827 2.639604
2025-11-09 0.052647 0.213689 0.477953 0.867598 1.380098 1.998020 2.771926
2025-11-16 0.020951 0.154846 0.409901 0.809328 1.352392 2.020705 2.869655
2025-11-23 0.007257 0.121296 0.373947 0.790264 1.371155 2.097071 3.028765
2025-11-30 0.002112 0.103960 0.361763 0.803089 1.430251 2.222260 3.245852
2025-12-07 0.000006 0.083093 0.338471 0.796581 1.461561 2.311331 3.418049
2025-12-14 NaN 0.060239 0.304842 0.770554 1.463852 2.361971 3.541863
2025-12-21 NaN 0.057719 0.314572 0.813051 1.560876 2.533584 3.814745
2025-12-28 NaN 0.057077 0.330017 0.867628 1.678895 2.737359 4.134142
2026-01-04 NaN 0.052964 0.336452 0.907746 1.777476 2.917407 4.425975
2026-01-11 NaN 0.054742 0.357776 0.972585 1.910948 3.142447 4.773517
2026-01-18 NaN 0.052874 0.369090 1.020517 2.020461 3.336612 5.082944
2026-01-25 NaN 0.043735 0.358508 1.030414 2.075159 3.459240 5.303037
2026-02-01 NaN 0.025720 0.313351 0.977062 2.036668 3.458768 5.368135
2026-02-08 NaN 0.011738 0.266443 0.914971 1.982000 3.434627 5.401541
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005920 0.243754 0.894632 1.987225 3.488383 5.531932
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003874 0.239032 0.908318 2.043393 3.610117 5.748605
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001517 0.224597 0.901374 2.067460 3.688273 5.909460
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000063 0.201175 0.873587 2.058162 3.720503 6.010974